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>Date: Mon, 20 Sep 2004 18:46:24 -0700
>Reply-To: Steve Sponsler <mesowhirl2003_ät_YAHOO.COM>
>Sender: The WX-CHASE list <WX-CHASE_ät_listserv.uiuc.edu>
>From: Steve Sponsler <mesowhirl2003_ät_YAHOO.COM>
>Subject: [WX-CHASE] Ivan's birth to Matthew?! Or Ivan Jr.(link added)
>To: WX-CHASE_ät_listserv.uiuc.edu
>
>Folks,
>
>(I leave Ryan McGinnis's post as an "in response":)
>
>As of 9:15pm the wind in Cape Canaveral has
>significantly picked up.
>
>The wind is sustained at about
>20G30-35 range.
>
>Post Frances debris and sand is now blowing down the
>street...and once again...one can hear the ocean
>beginning it's rush. This kind of gives me the creeps
>after Frances.
>
>Originally, I figured the corpse of Ivan had drifted
>south putting this area in a stronger pressure
>gradient like has been experienced in St.Augustine
>today (they had gusts up to 40mph today).
>
>But recently, noticed that VRB was reporting winds NW
>at 3mph last hour...so wondered if the "system" might
>have shifted North (which might mean some sort of
>re-organization beyond what has already occured).
>
>Since there has been all kinds of "squalls" moving in
>starting at about 5pm from MLB south..they may have
>had been experiencing some sort of outflow near
>reporting time.
>
>But with the wind speed at only 3mph in VRB (could
>that be outflow?)..seems suspect. Maybe a "truer" core
>circulation is developing. One tends to wonder.
>
>Note this nice circulation (of course, it depends on
>whether or not you see this post before midnight
>eastern time).
>
>http://www.srh.noaa.gov/mlb/ldis/4km/layer_avg_850-650.gif
>
>I wonder if the HPC will upgrade this system to a TD?
>
>And from there..could it possibly rapidly develop and
>hit Pensacola again?
>
>It's kind of amazing that even the slightest hint of
>that possiblity is there; given that the deep trough
>that is providing snow to the upper elevations of the
>Wasatch Front in NE Utah, and forecast to bring hi
>temps to around 51 degrees in Denver tomorrow, will be
>entering the N'thn GOM as this system traverses thru
>S. FL and into the Gulf.
>
>Questions beyond questions abound.
>
>Steve
>
> > > ----- Original Message -----
> > > From: "Ryan McGinnis" <digicana_ät_gmail.com>
> > > To: <WX-CHASE_ät_listserv.uiuc.edu>
> > > Sent: Monday, September 20, 2004 4:34 PM
> > > Subject: [WX-CHASE] Ivan may be back
> > >
> > >
> > >> BTW, I know this sounds nuts -- but it appears
> > that a remnant of Ivan
> > >> has swaddled itself down to just southeast of
> > Florida and is spinning
> > >> itself back up again (the metar out of Florida
> > makes this very
> > >> apparent, and you can see the circulation on
> > radar.) NHS says it may
> > >> develop further once it gets into the Gulf.
> > >>
> > >> I don't think I've ever seen or read about
> > something like that
> > >> happening... a major hurricane striking in the
> > Gulf, looping back
> > >> around into the Gulf again, redeveloping, and
> > striking again.
> > >>
> > >> -Ryan
> > >>
> > >>
--
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