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From: Gregory Lynn (g.lynn_at_hidden_email_address.net)
Date: 03/26/2001



Quoting Abdullah Alhassan <abdullah2342000_at_YAHOO.COM>:

> Hi my friend. What are methods by which meteorologists
> can track hurricane?
>
>
> Abdullah,,,
>

Hi Abdullah. Meteorologists track hurricanes (or cyclones as they are known
here in Australia) using a variety of methods, the most important being specialised meteorological satellites that orbit the Earth. Weather satellites
were first launched into orbit during the early 1960's, not too long after the beginning of the space age (of course there was much research into
rocketry and ballistic missiles by both the former Soviet Union and the U.S.
at that time as the Cold War was in full swing). Using these satellites, meteorologists could obtain detailed information about various aspects of the Hurricane's development, evolution and the path it took as it moved over the ocean. Another popular method of tracking and gaining information
on hurricanes was via specialised aeroplane flights through the cyclone, usually
conducted by military aircraft. Observations by ships at sea also help as well.
 Today professional meteorologists collect observational information from a diverse array of sources and feed these parameters into supercomputer models
that are set up to predict how the atmosphere will evolve with time. This process is very computationally intensive, and involves solving inter-related
mathematical equations (themselves based on physical processes operating in the
atmosphere, such as temperature gradients, air motion, etc), thus the need for
supercomputers. The best forcasts that can be made generally don't go much
further than 2 weeks into the future, due to the complexity of the calculations
involved and the inherent 'chaotic' nature of the overall dynamics of Earth's
atmosphere. However, the combination of powerful observational techniques coupled with these computer models has led to a vast improvement in the ability
to warn people in threatened communities in advance before a hurricane hits,
saving many thousands of lives and preventing a great deal of misery and suffering from occuring. Unfortunately, there is still much to be done in understanding how hurricanes form and evolve, and as yet there is no way of
actually preventing their formation or altering their course.

Cheers,

Greg L.